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Bollstanäs vs Franke Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Norra Svealand - 15 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 12:00

Bollstanäs

PPG 1.29 · HOME

UPCOMING

Franke

PPG 0.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 67.0% vs bookmaker-implied 70.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-13.6%0-23.0%0-31.7%0-4+1.1%1 1-04.5%1-17.7%1-26.6%1-33.7%1-4+2.3%2 2-04.9%2-18.3%2-27.1%2-34.0%2-4+2.5%3 3-03.5%3-16.0%3-25.1%3-32.9%3-4+1.8%4+ 4+-03.2%4+-15.4%4+-24.6%4+-32.6%4+-4+1.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.5% 40.8% 2.45 +23.7%

Draw 22.2% 27.4% 3.65 -11.4%

Away win 27.3% 41.7% 2.40 -20.7%

Over 2.5 67.0% 70.4% 1.42 -4.9%

Over 3.5 44.8% 50.0% 2.00 -10.4%

BTTS 63.5% 74.1% 1.35 -14.3%

Home O1.5 60.1% 55.6% 1.80 +8.2%

Away O1.5 48.0% 57.1% 1.75 -16.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -6.4%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 64%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob63.5%

H 50% / xG 2.2-1.7 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.7%

#2 2–1 8.3%

#3 2–2 7.1%

#4 1–2 6.6%

#5 3–1 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bollstanäs2.2

Franke1.7

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.8%

Form & verdict PPG

BOLLSTANÄS · PPG 1.29

FRANKE · PPG 0.71

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.46 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Bollstanäs (H) 50.5%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV +23.7%

Draw 22.2%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -11.4%

Franke (A) 27.3%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -20.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bollstanäs face Franke in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bollstanäs a 51% chance, the draw 22% and Franke 27%, so Bollstanäs are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Bollstanäs and 1.7 for Franke (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bollstanäs are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 0.71 for Franke. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +30.3%.

Bollstanäs vs Franke Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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