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Sunnersta vs Viggbyholms IK Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Norra Svealand - 15 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 17:00

Sunnersta

PPG 2.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Viggbyholms IK

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +2.82 for Home, form 2.50 vs 1.14 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-11.1%0-20.3%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-07.7%1-13.6%1-20.8%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-012.7%2-15.9%2-21.4%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-013.9%3-16.5%3-21.5%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-026.2%4+-112.2%4+-22.8%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 74.5% 69.9% 1.43 +6.5%

Draw 16.9% 23.8% 4.20 -17.4%

Away win 8.6% 20.4% 4.90 -34.7%

Over 2.5 65.0% 74.1% 1.35 -12.3%

Over 3.5 43.9% 52.9% 1.89 -17.0%

BTTS 48.5% — — —

Home O1.5 77.1% — — —

Away O1.5 17.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -6.4%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 68%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.3 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob48.5%

H 74% / xG 3.3-0.5 / O2.5 65% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 13.9%

#2 2–0 12.7%

#3 4–0 11.4%

#4 5–0 7.5%

#5 1–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sunnersta3.3

Viggbyholms IK0.5

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.0% · O3.5 PROB 43.9%

Form & verdict PPG

SUNNERSTA · PPG 2.50

VIGGBYHOLMS IK · PPG 1.14

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

98%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.82 for Home, form 2.50 vs 1.14 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Sunnersta (H) 74.5%

ODDS 1.43 · IMPLIED 69.9% EV +6.5%

Draw 16.9%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -17.4%

Viggbyholms IK (A) 8.6%

ODDS 4.90 · IMPLIED 20.4% EV -34.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sunnersta face Viggbyholms IK in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sunnersta a 75% chance, the draw 17% and Viggbyholms IK 9%, so Sunnersta are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.3 for Sunnersta and 0.5 for Viggbyholms IK (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sunnersta are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 1.14 for Viggbyholms IK.

Sunnersta vs Viggbyholms IK Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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