Today / Uruguay - Segunda División / La Luz vs Rentistas
La Luz vs Rentistas Prediction— Uruguay - Segunda División
2nd Phase - 12 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 16:00
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 45% / xG 1.1-0.8 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 49%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 22.8%
Form & verdict
LA LUZ · PPG 1.75
RENTISTAS · PPG 1.88
xG gap +0.32, combined xG 1.86 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
La Luz face Rentistas in Uruguay - Segunda División on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives La Luz a 45% chance, the draw 30% and Rentistas 25%, so La Luz are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for La Luz and 0.8 for Rentistas (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, La Luz are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.88 for Rentistas.