Today / Uruguay - Segunda División / Miramar vs La Luz
Miramar vs La Luz Prediction— Uruguay - Segunda División
2nd Phase - 11 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 22:30
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 44% / xG 1.0-0.7 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 47%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.3% · O3.5 PROB 19.7%
Form & verdict
MIRAMAR · PPG 1.00
LA LUZ · PPG 0.75
xG gap +0.31, combined xG 1.62 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Miramar face La Luz in Uruguay - Segunda División on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Miramar a 45% chance, the draw 31% and La Luz 25%, so Miramar are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Miramar and 0.7 for La Luz (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Miramar are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.75 for La Luz.