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Sportivo Huracan vs Uruguay Montevideo Prediction— Uruguay - Segunda División

2nd Phase - 12 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 13:00

Sportivo Huracan

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Uruguay Montevideo

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.8%0-110.0%0-24.2%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.2%1-112.9%1-25.5%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.8%2-18.3%2-23.5%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.2%3-13.6%3-21.5%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-11.5%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.8% — — —

Draw 26.8% — — —

Away win 27.3% — — —

Over 2.5 45.7% — — —

Over 3.5 27.2% — — —

BTTS 49.2% — — —

Home O1.5 37.7% — — —

Away O1.5 20.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 4 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 25%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob49.2%

H 46% / xG 1.3-0.8 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 0–0 11.8%

#3 1–0 15.2%

#4 2–0 9.8%

#5 2–1 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sportivo Huracan1.3

Uruguay Montevideo0.8

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.7% · O3.5 PROB 27.2%

Form & verdict PPG

SPORTIVO HURACAN · PPG 1.50

URUGUAY MONTEVIDEO · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.44, combined xG 2.13 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Sportivo Huracan (H) 45.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Uruguay Montevideo (A) 27.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sportivo Huracan face Uruguay Montevideo in Uruguay - Segunda División on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sportivo Huracan a 46% chance, the draw 27% and Uruguay Montevideo 27%, so Sportivo Huracan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Sportivo Huracan and 0.8 for Uruguay Montevideo (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sportivo Huracan are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.75 for Uruguay Montevideo.

Sportivo Huracan vs Uruguay Montevideo Prediction— Uruguay - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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