Today / Latvia - 1. Liga / Leevon / PPK vs Rēzekne FA

Leevon / PPK vs Rēzekne FA Prediction— Latvia - 1. Liga

Regular Season - 15 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 16:00

Leevon / PPK

PPG 2.29 · HOME

UPCOMING

Rēzekne FA

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +2.25 for Home, form 2.29 vs 0.00 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-11.9%0-20.6%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-08.6%1-15.4%1-21.7%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-012.3%2-17.8%2-22.5%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.9%3-17.5%3-22.4%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-017.4%4+-111.0%4+-23.5%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 65.6% — — —

Draw 17.0% — — —

Away win 17.3% — — —

Over 2.5 64.1% — — —

Over 3.5 42.8% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 77.1% — — —

Away O1.5 18.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 80%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -38.0%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 57%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob52.6%

H 66% / xG 2.9-0.6 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.3%

#2 3–0 11.9%

#3 4–0 8.6%

#4 2–1 7.8%

#5 1–0 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Leevon / PPK2.9

Rēzekne FA0.6

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 42.8%

Form & verdict PPG

LEEVON / PPK · PPG 2.29

RĒZEKNE FA · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.25 for Home, form 2.29 vs 0.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Leevon / PPK (H) 65.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Rēzekne FA (A) 17.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Leevon / PPK face Rēzekne FA in Latvia - 1. Liga on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Leevon / PPK a 66% chance, the draw 17% and Rēzekne FA 17%, so Leevon / PPK are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Leevon / PPK and 0.6 for Rēzekne FA (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Leevon / PPK are averaging 2.29 points per game versus 0.00 for Rēzekne FA.

Leevon / PPK vs Rēzekne FA Prediction— Latvia - 1. Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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