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Velo Clube U20 vs SC Paulinense SP U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Regular Season - 9 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 22:00

Velo Clube U20

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

SC Paulinense SP U20

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.0%0-115.5%0-28.6%0-33.2%0-4+1.1%1 1-012.0%1-113.3%1-27.4%1-32.7%1-4+1.0%2 2-05.2%2-15.7%2-23.2%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-01.5%3-11.6%3-20.9%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.9% — — —

Draw 30.4% — — —

Away win 35.7% — — —

Over 2.5 44.0% — — —

Over 3.5 22.8% — — —

BTTS 48.7% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -86.4%

Bet Hit 11%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 38%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob48.7%

D 30% / xG 0.9-1.1 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.0%

#2 1–1 13.3%

#3 0–1 15.5%

#4 1–0 12.0%

#5 0–2 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Velo Clube U200.9

SC Paulinense SP U201.1

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 22.8%

Form & verdict PPG

VELO CLUBE U20 · PPG 1.00

SC PAULINENSE SP U20 · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.25, combined xG 1.97 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Velo Clube U20 (H) 33.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

SC Paulinense SP U20 (A) 35.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Velo Clube U20 face SC Paulinense SP U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Velo Clube U20 a 34% chance, the draw 30% and SC Paulinense SP U20 36%, so SC Paulinense SP U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Velo Clube U20 and 1.1 for SC Paulinense SP U20 (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Velo Clube U20 are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.50 for SC Paulinense SP U20.

Velo Clube U20 vs SC Paulinense SP U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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