Today / Brazil - Paulista - U20 / São Paulo U20 vs Botafogo SP U20

São Paulo U20 vs Botafogo SP U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Regular Season - 9 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 18:00

São Paulo U20

PPG 1.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Botafogo SP U20

PPG 0.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.90 for Home, form 1.67 vs 0.33 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.5%0-12.7%0-20.6%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-015.1%1-16.3%1-21.3%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-017.5%2-17.2%2-21.5%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-013.5%3-15.6%3-21.2%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-013.5%4+-15.6%4+-21.2%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 71.8% — — —

Draw 18.6% — — —

Away win 9.6% — — —

Over 2.5 53.4% — — —

Over 3.5 32.2% — — —

BTTS 45.4% — — —

Home O1.5 60.1% — — —

Away O1.5 11.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -86.4%

Bet Hit 11%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 52%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob45.4%

H 72% / xG 2.3-0.4 / O2.5 53% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 17.5%

#2 1–0 15.1%

#3 3–0 13.5%

#4 4–0 7.8%

#5 0–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

São Paulo U202.3

Botafogo SP U200.4

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

SÃO PAULO U20 · PPG 1.67

BOTAFOGO SP U20 · PPG 0.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.90 for Home, form 1.67 vs 0.33 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

São Paulo U20 (H) 71.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Botafogo SP U20 (A) 9.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

São Paulo U20 face Botafogo SP U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives São Paulo U20 a 72% chance, the draw 19% and Botafogo SP U20 10%, so São Paulo U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for São Paulo U20 and 0.4 for Botafogo SP U20 (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, São Paulo U20 are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 0.33 for Botafogo SP U20.

São Paulo U20 vs Botafogo SP U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

More Brazil - Paulista - U20 Predictions