Today / Brazil - Paulista - U20 / XV de Jaú U20 vs Ituano U20

XV de Jaú U20 vs Ituano U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Regular Season - 9 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 18:00

XV de Jaú U20

PPG 1.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Ituano U20

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.35, combined xG 2.50 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.2%0-111.7%0-28.3%0-34.0%0-4+1.9%1 1-08.8%1-112.6%1-29.0%1-34.3%1-4+2.1%2 2-04.7%2-16.8%2-24.8%2-32.3%2-4+1.1%3 3-01.7%3-12.4%3-21.7%3-30.8%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.8%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.1% — — —

Draw 26.3% — — —

Away win 42.7% — — —

Over 2.5 51.7% — — —

Over 3.5 29.3% — — —

BTTS 53.5% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 43.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -86.4%

Bet Hit 11%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 23%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob53.5%

A 43% / xG 1.1-1.4 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 0–0 8.2%

#3 0–1 11.7%

#4 1–2 9.0%

#5 0–2 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

XV de Jaú U201.1

Ituano U201.4

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.7% · O3.5 PROB 29.3%

Form & verdict PPG

XV DE JAÚ U20 · PPG 1.33

ITUANO U20 · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.35, combined xG 2.50 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

XV de Jaú U20 (H) 31.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ituano U20 (A) 42.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

XV de Jaú U20 face Ituano U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives XV de Jaú U20 a 31% chance, the draw 26% and Ituano U20 43%, so Ituano U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for XV de Jaú U20 and 1.4 for Ituano U20 (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, XV de Jaú U20 are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.00 for Ituano U20.

XV de Jaú U20 vs Ituano U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

More Brazil - Paulista - U20 Predictions