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Santo André U20 vs União São João U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Regular Season - 9 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 18:00

Santo André U20

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

União São João U20

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.3%0-18.9%0-23.5%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-015.7%1-112.4%1-24.9%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.9%2-18.6%2-23.4%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-05.1%3-14.0%3-21.6%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-11.9%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.6% — — —

Draw 26.8% — — —

Away win 23.6% — — —

Over 2.5 45.7% — — —

Over 3.5 26.5% — — —

BTTS 49.1% — — —

Home O1.5 42.1% — — —

Away O1.5 20.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -86.4%

Bet Hit 11%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 31%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob49.1%

H 50% / xG 1.4-0.8 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 1–0 15.7%

#3 0–0 11.3%

#4 2–0 10.9%

#5 2–1 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Santo André U201.4

União São João U200.8

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.7% · O3.5 PROB 26.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SANTO ANDRÉ U20 · PPG 2.00

UNIÃO SÃO JOÃO U20 · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.60 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Santo André U20 (H) 49.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

União São João U20 (A) 23.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Santo André U20 face União São João U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Santo André U20 a 50% chance, the draw 27% and União São João U20 24%, so Santo André U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Santo André U20 and 0.8 for União São João U20 (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Santo André U20 are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.33 for União São João U20.

Santo André U20 vs União São João U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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