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Herentals vs TelOne Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Regular Season - 26 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 13:00

Herentals

PPG 1.75 · HOME

UPCOMING

TelOne

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.73 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.9%0-18.8%0-22.4%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.5%1-111.3%1-23.1%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.1%2-17.3%2-22.0%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-05.6%3-13.1%3-20.9%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-11.3%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.6% — — —

Draw 28.4% — — —

Away win 21.1% — — —

Over 2.5 37.3% — — —

Over 3.5 18.6% — — —

BTTS 45.4% — — —

Home O1.5 37.5% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 16 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 43%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob45.4%

H 51% / xG 1.3-0.6 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 20.5%

#2 0–0 15.9%

#3 2–0 13.1%

#4 1–1 11.3%

#5 2–1 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Herentals1.3

TelOne0.6

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.3% · O3.5 PROB 18.6%

Form & verdict PPG

HERENTALS · PPG 1.75

TELONE · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.73 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Herentals (H) 50.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

TelOne (A) 21.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Herentals face TelOne in Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Herentals a 51% chance, the draw 28% and TelOne 21%, so Herentals are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Herentals and 0.6 for TelOne (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Herentals are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.00 for TelOne.

Herentals vs TelOne Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Match Preview & Prediction

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