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Manica Diamonds vs Triangle United Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Regular Season - 25 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 13:00

Manica Diamonds

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Triangle United

PPG 0.58 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.6%0-112.8%0-25.6%0-31.6%0-4+0.4%1 1-015.3%1-113.4%1-25.9%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.0%2-17.0%2-23.1%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.8%3-12.5%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-10.8%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.4% — — —

Draw 31.7% — — —

Away win 27.9% — — —

Over 2.5 40.7% — — —

Over 3.5 21.9% — — —

BTTS 48.5% — — —

Home O1.5 35.0% — — —

Away O1.5 24.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 30%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.5%

H 40% / xG 1.0-0.9 / U2.5 41% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.6%

#2 1–1 13.4%

#3 1–0 15.3%

#4 0–1 12.8%

#5 2–0 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Manica Diamonds1.0

Triangle United0.9

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 40.7% · O3.5 PROB 21.9%

Form & verdict PPG

MANICA DIAMONDS · PPG 1.00

TRIANGLE UNITED · PPG 0.58

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.17, combined xG 1.93 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Manica Diamonds (H) 40.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Triangle United (A) 27.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Manica Diamonds face Triangle United in Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Manica Diamonds a 40% chance, the draw 32% and Triangle United 28%, so Manica Diamonds are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Manica Diamonds and 0.9 for Triangle United (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Manica Diamonds are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.58 for Triangle United.

Manica Diamonds vs Triangle United Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Match Preview & Prediction

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