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Simba Bhora vs Agama Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Regular Season - 25 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 13:00

Simba Bhora

PPG 1.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Agama

PPG 0.58 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.23 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.0%0-15.4%0-21.4%0-30.3%0-4+0.0%1 1-017.7%1-19.5%1-22.5%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-015.6%2-18.4%2-22.2%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-09.2%3-14.9%3-21.3%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-06.0%4+-13.2%4+-20.9%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 58.9% — — —

Draw 22.3% — — —

Away win 18.8% — — —

Over 2.5 50.0% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 48.5% — — —

Home O1.5 53.5% — — —

Away O1.5 19.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob48.5%

H 59% / xG 1.8-0.5 / U2.5 50% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.7%

#2 2–0 15.6%

#3 0–0 10.0%

#4 1–1 9.5%

#5 3–0 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Simba Bhora1.8

Agama0.5

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SIMBA BHORA · PPG 1.67

AGAMA · PPG 0.58

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.23 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Simba Bhora (H) 58.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Agama (A) 18.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Simba Bhora face Agama in Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Simba Bhora a 59% chance, the draw 22% and Agama 19%, so Simba Bhora are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Simba Bhora and 0.5 for Agama (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Simba Bhora are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 0.58 for Agama.

Simba Bhora vs Agama Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Match Preview & Prediction

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