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TelOne vs CAPS United Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Regular Season - 25 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 13:00

TelOne

PPG 0.42 · HOME

UPCOMING

CAPS United

PPG 1.42 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.3%0-116.4%0-211.0%0-34.9%0-4+2.2%1 1-09.3%1-112.5%1-28.3%1-33.7%1-4+1.7%2 2-03.5%2-14.7%2-23.2%2-31.4%2-4+0.6%3 3-00.9%3-11.2%3-20.8%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.6% — — —

Draw 28.2% — — —

Away win 48.2% — — —

Over 2.5 46.6% — — —

Over 3.5 25.7% — — —

BTTS 48.5% — — —

Home O1.5 33.3% — — —

Away O1.5 41.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 30%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob48.5%

A 48% / xG 0.8-1.3 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 16.4%

#2 1–1 12.5%

#3 0–0 12.3%

#4 0–2 11.0%

#5 1–2 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

TelOne0.8

CAPS United1.3

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.6% · O3.5 PROB 25.7%

Form & verdict PPG

TELONE · PPG 0.42

CAPS UNITED · PPG 1.42

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.58 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

TelOne (H) 23.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

CAPS United (A) 48.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

TelOne face CAPS United in Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives TelOne a 24% chance, the draw 28% and CAPS United 48%, so CAPS United are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for TelOne and 1.3 for CAPS United (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, TelOne are averaging 0.42 points per game versus 1.42 for CAPS United.

TelOne vs CAPS United Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Match Preview & Prediction

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