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Ngezi Platinum vs Hardrock Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Regular Season - 25 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 13:00

Ngezi Platinum

PPG 2.25 · HOME

UPCOMING

Hardrock

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.20, combined xG 2.17 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.4%0-113.5%0-28.0%0-33.1%0-4+1.2%1 1-011.3%1-113.3%1-27.9%1-33.1%1-4+1.2%2 2-05.6%2-16.6%2-23.9%2-31.5%2-4+0.6%3 3-01.8%3-12.2%3-21.3%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.7%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.2% — — —

Draw 28.9% — — —

Away win 37.0% — — —

Over 2.5 50.0% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 52.3% — — —

Home O1.5 35.0% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob52.3%

D 29% / xG 1.0-1.2 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 11.4%

#3 0–1 13.5%

#4 1–0 11.3%

#5 0–2 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ngezi Platinum1.0

Hardrock1.2

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

NGEZI PLATINUM · PPG 2.25

HARDROCK · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.20, combined xG 2.17 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Ngezi Platinum (H) 34.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hardrock (A) 37.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ngezi Platinum face Hardrock in Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ngezi Platinum a 34% chance, the draw 29% and Hardrock 37%, so Hardrock are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Ngezi Platinum and 1.2 for Hardrock (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ngezi Platinum are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 2.00 for Hardrock.

Ngezi Platinum vs Hardrock Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Match Preview & Prediction

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