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Bulawayo Chiefs vs Kariba Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Regular Season - 25 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 13:00

Bulawayo Chiefs

PPG 1.17 · HOME

UPCOMING

Kariba

PPG 0.92 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.3%0-113.8%0-24.9%0-31.2%0-4+0.2%1 1-017.9%1-112.8%1-24.6%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-08.3%2-16.0%2-22.1%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.6%3-11.9%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.5%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.3% — — —

Draw 31.4% — — —

Away win 23.3% — — —

Over 2.5 35.9% — — —

Over 3.5 17.8% — — —

BTTS 46.4% — — —

Home O1.5 33.3% — — —

Away O1.5 20.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 37%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob46.4%

H 45% / xG 0.9-0.7 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 19.3%

#2 1–0 17.9%

#3 1–1 12.8%

#4 0–1 13.8%

#5 2–0 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bulawayo Chiefs0.9

Kariba0.7

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.9% · O3.5 PROB 17.8%

Form & verdict PPG

BULAWAYO CHIEFS · PPG 1.17

KARIBA · PPG 0.92

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.22, combined xG 1.65 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Bulawayo Chiefs (H) 45.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kariba (A) 23.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bulawayo Chiefs face Kariba in Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bulawayo Chiefs a 45% chance, the draw 31% and Kariba 23%, so Bulawayo Chiefs are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Bulawayo Chiefs and 0.7 for Kariba (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bulawayo Chiefs are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 0.92 for Kariba.

Bulawayo Chiefs vs Kariba Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Match Preview & Prediction

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