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CAPS United vs Hunters Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Regular Season - 24 ·Thursday, July 23, 2026, 13:00

CAPS United

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Hunters

PPG 0.55 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=57.2%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.8%0-14.9%0-21.5%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-014.9%1-19.4%1-23.0%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.4%2-19.1%2-22.9%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-09.2%3-15.8%3-21.8%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-06.9%4+-14.3%4+-21.4%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.2% — — —

Draw 22.6% — — —

Away win 20.2% — — —

Over 2.5 50.0% — — —

Over 3.5 28.8% — — —

BTTS 48.4% — — —

Home O1.5 55.6% — — —

Away O1.5 19.0% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 31%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.4%

H 57% / xG 1.9-0.6 / O2.5 50% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 14.4%

#2 1–0 14.9%

#3 1–1 9.4%

#4 3–0 9.2%

#5 0–0 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

CAPS United1.9

Hunters0.6

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

CAPS UNITED · PPG 2.00

HUNTERS · PPG 0.55

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=57.2%

Win probability 1X2

CAPS United (H) 57.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hunters (A) 20.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

CAPS United face Hunters in Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League on Thursday, July 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives CAPS United a 57% chance, the draw 23% and Hunters 20%, so CAPS United are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for CAPS United and 0.6 for Hunters (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, CAPS United are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.55 for Hunters.

CAPS United vs Hunters Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Match Preview & Prediction

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