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Holthausen-Bien vs Lupo-Martini Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Niedersachsen - 26 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 13:00

Holthausen-Bien

PPG 0.67 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Lupo-Martini

PPG 0.45 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-13.9%0-24.2%0-33.1%0-4+2.8%1 1-03.3%1-17.1%1-27.8%1-35.7%1-4+5.2%2 2-03.0%2-16.6%2-27.2%2-35.3%2-4+4.8%3 3-01.9%3-14.1%3-24.4%3-33.2%3-4+3.0%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-12.9%4+-23.1%4+-32.3%4+-4+2.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.3% — — —

Draw 20.3% — — —

Away win 46.4% — — —

Over 2.5 76.7% — — —

Over 3.5 57.4% — — —

BTTS 74.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 64%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob74.8%

A 46% / xG 1.8-2.2 / O2.5 77% / BTTS 75%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 7.8%

#2 2–2 7.2%

#3 1–1 7.1%

#4 2–1 6.6%

#5 1–3 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Holthausen-Bien1.8

Lupo-Martini2.2

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 76.7% · O3.5 PROB 57.4%

Form & verdict PPG

HOLTHAUSEN-BIEN · PPG 0.67

LUPO-MARTINI · PPG 0.45

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.67), Away POOR (0.45)

Win probability 1X2

Holthausen-Bien (H) 33.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Lupo-Martini (A) 46.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Holthausen-Bien face Lupo-Martini in Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Holthausen-Bien a 33% chance, the draw 20% and Lupo-Martini 46%, so Lupo-Martini are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Holthausen-Bien and 2.2 for Lupo-Martini (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 77% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 75% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Holthausen-Bien are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 0.45 for Lupo-Martini. This match finished 0-0.

Holthausen-Bien vs Lupo-Martini Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Match Preview & Prediction

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