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Fénix vs Yupanqui Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Regular Season - 21 ·Monday, July 27, 2026, 18:00

Fénix

PPG 1.20 · HOME

UPCOMING

Yupanqui

PPG 1.56 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.4%0-115.5%0-28.4%0-33.0%0-4+1.0%1 1-012.3%1-113.3%1-27.2%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-05.3%2-15.7%2-23.1%2-31.1%2-4+0.4%3 3-01.5%3-11.6%3-20.9%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.8% — — —

Draw 28.8% — — —

Away win 34.3% — — —

Over 2.5 46.8% — — —

Over 3.5 26.8% — — —

BTTS 48.5% — — —

Home O1.5 33.3% — — —

Away O1.5 36.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 25%

O2.5 100%

BTTS 88%

Score Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 32%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob48.5%

D 29% / xG 0.9-1.1 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.4%

#2 1–1 13.3%

#3 0–1 15.5%

#4 1–0 12.3%

#5 0–2 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fénix0.9

Yupanqui1.1

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.8% · O3.5 PROB 26.8%

Form & verdict PPG

FÉNIX · PPG 1.20

YUPANQUI · PPG 1.56

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.22, combined xG 1.94 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Fénix (H) 36.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Yupanqui (A) 34.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Fénix face Yupanqui in Argentina - Primera C on Monday, July 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fénix a 37% chance, the draw 29% and Yupanqui 34%, so Fénix are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Fénix and 1.1 for Yupanqui (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fénix are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 1.56 for Yupanqui.

Fénix vs Yupanqui Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Match Preview & Prediction

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