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General Lamadrid vs Claypole Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Regular Season - 21 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 18:00

General Lamadrid

PPG 2.18 · HOME

UPCOMING

Claypole

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 53.7% vs bookmaker-implied 46.5% — a clear edge.

+15.4% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.5%0-18.9%0-23.0%0-30.7%0-4+0.1%1 1-018.1%1-112.0%1-24.0%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.1%2-18.0%2-22.7%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-05.4%3-13.6%3-21.2%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-11.6%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.7% 46.5% 2.15 +15.4%

Draw 26.3% 33.9% 2.95 -13.5%

Away win 20.0% 29.4% 3.40 -19.2%

Over 2.5 45.4% 39.2% 2.55 +15.8%

Over 3.5 26.0% 22.2% 4.50 +10.2%

BTTS 48.5% 47.6% 2.10 +1.8%

Home O1.5 38.5% 39.2% 2.55 -1.8%

Away O1.5 20.1% 27.4% 3.65 -16.0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.5%

H 54% / xG 1.3-0.7 / U2.5 45% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 18.1%

#2 0–0 13.5%

#3 1–1 12.0%

#4 2–0 12.1%

#5 2–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

General Lamadrid1.3

Claypole0.7

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.4% · O3.5 PROB 26.0%

Form & verdict PPG

GENERAL LAMADRID · PPG 2.18

CLAYPOLE · PPG 1.00

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.68 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

General Lamadrid (H) 53.7%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV +15.4%

Draw 26.3%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV -13.5%

Claypole (A) 20.0%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -19.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

General Lamadrid face Claypole in Argentina - Primera C on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives General Lamadrid a 54% chance, the draw 26% and Claypole 20%, so General Lamadrid are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for General Lamadrid and 0.7 for Claypole (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, General Lamadrid are averaging 2.18 points per game versus 1.00 for Claypole. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +15.8%.

General Lamadrid vs Claypole Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Match Preview & Prediction

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