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Sacachispas vs Leandro N. Alem Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Regular Season - 21 ·Monday, July 27, 2026, 18:00

Sacachispas

PPG 2.09 · HOME

UPCOMING

Leandro N. Alem

PPG 0.89 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.40 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-13.9%0-21.6%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-010.3%1-18.7%1-23.6%1-31.0%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.6%2-19.7%2-24.1%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-08.6%3-17.2%3-23.0%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-08.1%4+-16.8%4+-22.9%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 62.3% — — —

Draw 20.7% — — —

Away win 17.1% — — —

Over 2.5 59.6% — — —

Over 3.5 37.5% — — —

BTTS 52.3% — — —

Home O1.5 61.8% — — —

Away O1.5 20.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 25%

O2.5 100%

BTTS 88%

Score Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob52.3%

H 62% / xG 2.2-0.8 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.6%

#2 1–1 8.7%

#3 2–1 9.7%

#4 1–0 10.3%

#5 3–0 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sacachispas2.2

Leandro N. Alem0.8

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.6% · O3.5 PROB 37.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SACACHISPAS · PPG 2.09

LEANDRO N. ALEM · PPG 0.89

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.40 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Sacachispas (H) 62.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Leandro N. Alem (A) 17.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sacachispas face Leandro N. Alem in Argentina - Primera C on Monday, July 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sacachispas a 62% chance, the draw 21% and Leandro N. Alem 17%, so Sacachispas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Sacachispas and 0.8 for Leandro N. Alem (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sacachispas are averaging 2.09 points per game versus 0.89 for Leandro N. Alem.

Sacachispas vs Leandro N. Alem Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Match Preview & Prediction

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