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Lujan vs Central Ballester Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Regular Season - 21 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 18:00

Lujan

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Central Ballester

PPG 1.44 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.65 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.2%0-18.9%0-23.2%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.8%1-112.2%1-24.4%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.6%2-18.4%2-23.0%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-05.3%3-13.9%3-21.4%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-11.8%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.8% — — —

Draw 26.1% — — —

Away win 20.0% — — —

Over 2.5 46.8% — — —

Over 3.5 27.5% — — —

BTTS 48.5% — — —

Home O1.5 38.5% — — —

Away O1.5 20.1% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.5%

H 54% / xG 1.4-0.7 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 16.8%

#2 0–0 12.2%

#3 1–1 12.2%

#4 2–0 11.6%

#5 2–1 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lujan1.4

Central Ballester0.7

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.8% · O3.5 PROB 27.5%

Form & verdict PPG

LUJAN · PPG 1.50

CENTRAL BALLESTER · PPG 1.44

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.65 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Lujan (H) 53.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Central Ballester (A) 20.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Lujan face Central Ballester in Argentina - Primera C on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lujan a 54% chance, the draw 26% and Central Ballester 20%, so Lujan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Lujan and 0.7 for Central Ballester (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lujan are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.44 for Central Ballester.

Lujan vs Central Ballester Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Match Preview & Prediction

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