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Leones de Rosario vs Central Cordoba Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Regular Season - 21 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 18:00

Leones de Rosario

PPG 1.40 · HOME

UPCOMING

Central Cordoba

PPG 1.11 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.8%0-112.9%0-24.2%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-019.2%1-112.5%1-24.1%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-09.3%2-16.1%2-22.0%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-03.0%3-12.0%3-20.6%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-10.6%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.3% 54.1% 1.85 -16.2%

Draw 31.4% 32.3% 3.10 -2.7%

Away win 23.3% 23.8% 4.20 -1.3%

Over 2.5 35.9% 37.0% 2.70 -3.1%

Over 3.5 17.8% 16.7% 6.00 +4.1%

BTTS 46.4% 43.5% 2.30 +6.7%

Home O1.5 35.0% 42.6% 2.35 -17.8%

Away O1.5 20.0% 22.2% 4.50 -6.0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 37%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob46.4%

H 45% / xG 1.0-0.7 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 19.8%

#2 1–0 19.2%

#3 1–1 12.5%

#4 0–1 12.9%

#5 2–0 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Leones de Rosario1.0

Central Cordoba0.7

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.9% · O3.5 PROB 17.8%

Form & verdict PPG

LEONES DE ROSARIO · PPG 1.40

CENTRAL CORDOBA · PPG 1.11

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.32, combined xG 1.62 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Leones de Rosario (H) 45.3%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -16.2%

Draw 31.4%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -2.7%

Central Cordoba (A) 23.3%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -1.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Leones de Rosario face Central Cordoba in Argentina - Primera C on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Leones de Rosario a 45% chance, the draw 31% and Central Cordoba 23%, so Leones de Rosario are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Leones de Rosario and 0.7 for Central Cordoba (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Leones de Rosario are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.11 for Central Cordoba. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +26.4%.

Leones de Rosario vs Central Cordoba Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Match Preview & Prediction

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