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Egestorf L. vs Spelle-Venhaus Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Niedersachsen - 26 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 13:00

Egestorf L.

PPG 2.08 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Spelle-Venhaus

PPG 1.58 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-13.0%0-22.8%0-31.8%0-4+1.3%1 1-03.6%1-16.7%1-26.4%1-34.0%1-4+2.9%2 2-04.0%2-17.6%2-27.2%2-34.5%2-4+3.3%3 3-03.0%3-15.7%3-25.4%3-33.4%3-4+2.5%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-15.5%4+-25.2%4+-33.3%4+-4+2.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.9% — — —

Draw 20.0% — — —

Away win 33.1% — — —

Over 2.5 78.3% — — —

Over 3.5 59.6% — — —

BTTS 76.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob76.1%

H 47% / xG 2.3-1.9 / O2.5 78% / BTTS 76%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.6%

#2 2–2 7.2%

#3 1–1 6.7%

#4 1–2 6.4%

#5 3–1 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Egestorf L.2.3

Spelle-Venhaus1.9

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 78.3% · O3.5 PROB 59.6%

Form & verdict PPG

EGESTORF L. · PPG 2.08

SPELLE-VENHAUS · PPG 1.58

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.08) > Away GOOD (1.58)

Win probability 1X2

Egestorf L. (H) 46.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Spelle-Venhaus (A) 33.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Egestorf L. face Spelle-Venhaus in Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Egestorf L. a 47% chance, the draw 20% and Spelle-Venhaus 33%, so Egestorf L. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Egestorf L. and 1.9 for Spelle-Venhaus (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 76% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Egestorf L. are averaging 2.08 points per game versus 1.58 for Spelle-Venhaus. This match finished 0-0.

Egestorf L. vs Spelle-Venhaus Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Match Preview & Prediction

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