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Schwaz vs Dornbirn Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 25 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 13:00

Schwaz

PPG 1.64 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Dornbirn

PPG 1.36 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-13.6%0-24.4%0-33.5%0-4+3.8%1 1-02.6%1-16.4%1-27.8%1-36.3%1-4+6.8%2 2-02.4%2-15.7%2-26.9%2-35.6%2-4+6.1%3 3-01.4%3-13.4%3-24.1%3-33.3%3-4+3.6%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-12.3%4+-22.8%4+-32.2%4+-4+2.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.3% — — —

Draw 19.3% — — —

Away win 52.4% — — —

Over 2.5 79.1% — — —

Over 3.5 60.7% — — —

BTTS 75.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -6.3%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob75.8%

A 52% / xG 1.8-2.4 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 76%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 7.8%

#2 2–2 6.9%

#3 1–1 6.4%

#4 1–3 6.3%

#5 2–1 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Schwaz1.8

Dornbirn2.4

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.1% · O3.5 PROB 60.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SCHWAZ · PPG 1.64

DORNBIRN · PPG 1.36

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.64), Away AVERAGE (1.36)

Win probability 1X2

Schwaz (H) 28.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Dornbirn (A) 52.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Schwaz face Dornbirn in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Schwaz a 28% chance, the draw 19% and Dornbirn 52%, so Dornbirn are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Schwaz and 2.4 for Dornbirn (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 76% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Schwaz are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 1.36 for Dornbirn. This match finished 0-0.

Schwaz vs Dornbirn Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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