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Argentino Rosario vs Puerto Nuevo Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Regular Season - 21 ·Thursday, July 23, 2026, 18:00

Argentino Rosario

PPG 1.18 · HOME

UPCOMING

Puerto Nuevo

PPG 1.90 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.8%0-116.5%0-26.9%0-31.9%0-4+0.5%1 1-015.5%1-113.0%1-25.4%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-06.1%2-15.1%2-22.1%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.6%3-11.3%3-20.6%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.5% — — —

Draw 32.1% — — —

Away win 30.4% — — —

Over 2.5 38.5% — — —

Over 3.5 19.0% — — —

BTTS 46.7% — — —

Home O1.5 33.3% — — —

Away O1.5 20.1% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 44%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob46.7%

D 32% / xG 0.8-0.8 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 19.8%

#2 1–1 13.0%

#3 0–1 16.5%

#4 1–0 15.5%

#5 0–2 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Argentino Rosario0.8

Puerto Nuevo0.8

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.5% · O3.5 PROB 19.0%

Form & verdict PPG

ARGENTINO ROSARIO · PPG 1.18

PUERTO NUEVO · PPG 1.90

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.05, combined xG 1.62 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Argentino Rosario (H) 37.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Puerto Nuevo (A) 30.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Argentino Rosario face Puerto Nuevo in Argentina - Primera C on Thursday, July 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Argentino Rosario a 38% chance, the draw 32% and Puerto Nuevo 30%, so Argentino Rosario are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Argentino Rosario and 0.8 for Puerto Nuevo (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Argentino Rosario are averaging 1.18 points per game versus 1.90 for Puerto Nuevo.

Argentino Rosario vs Puerto Nuevo Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Match Preview & Prediction

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