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Victoriano Arenas vs JJ Urquiza Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Regular Season - 21 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 18:00

Victoriano Arenas

PPG 1.70 · HOME

UPCOMING

JJ Urquiza

PPG 0.91 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-027.5%0-19.3%0-21.6%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-026.2%1-18.9%1-21.5%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-012.4%2-14.2%2-20.7%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-03.9%3-11.3%3-20.2%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-10.4%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.4% — — —

Draw 31.9% — — —

Away win 18.7% — — —

Over 2.5 33.3% — — —

Over 3.5 13.0% — — —

BTTS 30.0% — — —

Home O1.5 34.3% — — —

Away O1.5 11.1% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 48%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.3 BTTS prob30.0%

H 49% / xG 1.0-0.3 / U2.5 33% / NoBTTS 30%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 27.5%

#2 1–0 26.2%

#3 2–0 12.4%

#4 1–1 8.9%

#5 0–1 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Victoriano Arenas1.0

JJ Urquiza0.3

COMBINED 1.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.3% · O3.5 PROB 13.0%

Form & verdict PPG

VICTORIANO ARENAS · PPG 1.70

JJ URQUIZA · PPG 0.91

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.61 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Victoriano Arenas (H) 49.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

JJ Urquiza (A) 18.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Victoriano Arenas face JJ Urquiza in Argentina - Primera C on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Victoriano Arenas a 49% chance, the draw 32% and JJ Urquiza 19%, so Victoriano Arenas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Victoriano Arenas and 0.3 for JJ Urquiza (1.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 30% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Victoriano Arenas are averaging 1.70 points per game versus 0.91 for JJ Urquiza.

Victoriano Arenas vs JJ Urquiza Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Match Preview & Prediction

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