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Triangle United vs Ngezi Platinum Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Regular Season - 24 ·Thursday, July 23, 2026, 13:00

Triangle United

PPG 0.64 · HOME

UPCOMING

Ngezi Platinum

PPG 1.18 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.8%0-117.0%0-210.5%0-34.3%0-4+1.7%1 1-010.3%1-112.7%1-27.8%1-33.2%1-4+1.3%2 2-03.9%2-14.8%2-22.9%2-31.2%2-4+0.5%3 3-01.0%3-11.2%3-20.7%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.1% — — —

Draw 30.2% — — —

Away win 46.7% — — —

Over 2.5 39.6% — — —

Over 3.5 19.8% — — —

BTTS 47.5% — — —

Home O1.5 33.3% — — —

Away O1.5 36.8% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 38%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob47.5%

A 47% / xG 0.7-1.2 / U2.5 40% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 13.8%

#2 0–1 17.0%

#3 1–1 12.7%

#4 0–2 10.5%

#5 1–0 10.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Triangle United0.7

Ngezi Platinum1.2

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.6% · O3.5 PROB 19.8%

Form & verdict PPG

TRIANGLE UNITED · PPG 0.64

NGEZI PLATINUM · PPG 1.18

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.18) vs Home POOR (0.64)

Win probability 1X2

Triangle United (H) 23.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ngezi Platinum (A) 46.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Triangle United face Ngezi Platinum in Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League on Thursday, July 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Triangle United a 23% chance, the draw 30% and Ngezi Platinum 47%, so Ngezi Platinum are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Triangle United and 1.2 for Ngezi Platinum (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Triangle United are averaging 0.64 points per game versus 1.18 for Ngezi Platinum.

Triangle United vs Ngezi Platinum Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Match Preview & Prediction

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