Sweden

SWEDEN · 7 MATCHES TRACKED · 18 JUL 2026 – 20 JUL 2026

● LOW SAMPLE

FEWER THAN 10 SETTLED PICKS — NO VERDICT YET

// Model accuracy

How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 7 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.

71.4%

1X2

5/7

71.4%

O/U 2.5

5/7

57.1%

BTTS

4/7

14.3%

Exact score

1/7

// Published picks

Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.

Settled

66.7%

Hit rate

2/3

1.83

Avg odds

+24.3%

ROI

+0.7u

Picks by market

FLAT 1U · BREAK-EVEN AT IMPLIED % MARKED ▎· SMALL SAMPLES — READ WITH CARE

OVER 2.5 · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.79 · -8.5% ROI

HOME WIN · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.90 · +90.0% ROI

Picks by verdict tier

VERDICTS NORMALIZED INTO CONFIDENCE TIERS · LOW-CONFIDENCE FLAG OVERRIDES

✓ Solid

Bets

Hit

-100.0%

ROI

✓ Fair / Caution

Bets

100%

Hit

+86.5%

ROI

Match log

7 RESOLVED · GROUPED BY MONTH · — MEANS NO PICK PUBLISHED

DateMatchPickEVFTResult

July 2026 // 7 PICKS · 4 HIT · 3 MISS

20 JUL Norrby vs GIF Sundsvall Home +9% 3–1 HIT 19 JUL Norrkoping vs Sandviken BTTS -14% 3–0 MISS 19 JUL United Nordic vs Orebro Over 2.5 +7% 2–0 MISS 19 JUL Varnamo vs Ljungskile BTTS -14% 2–3 HIT 18 JUL Oddevold vs Varberg BoIS Over 2.5 +17% 2–4 HIT 18 JUL Ostersunds vs Landskrona BTTS -10% 2–0 MISS 18 JUL Oster vs Brage Over 2.5 -7% 3–2 HIT