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Canuelas vs Deportivo Muñiz Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Regular Season - 21 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 18:00

Canuelas

PPG 1.78 · HOME

UPCOMING

Deportivo Muñiz

PPG 0.82 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.78 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.8%0-18.3%0-21.8%0-30.3%0-4+0.0%1 1-023.1%1-110.2%1-22.3%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-014.2%2-16.3%2-21.4%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-05.8%3-12.6%3-20.6%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-11.0%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.1% — — —

Draw 30.5% — — —

Away win 18.4% — — —

Over 2.5 35.9% — — —

Over 3.5 17.0% — — —

BTTS 46.4% — — —

Home O1.5 36.8% — — —

Away O1.5 13.8% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 42%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob46.4%

H 51% / xG 1.2-0.4 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 23.1%

#2 0–0 18.8%

#3 2–0 14.2%

#4 1–1 10.2%

#5 0–1 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Canuelas1.2

Deportivo Muñiz0.4

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.9% · O3.5 PROB 17.0%

Form & verdict PPG

CANUELAS · PPG 1.78

DEPORTIVO MUÑIZ · PPG 0.82

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.78 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Canuelas (H) 51.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Deportivo Muñiz (A) 18.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Canuelas face Deportivo Muñiz in Argentina - Primera C on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Canuelas a 51% chance, the draw 31% and Deportivo Muñiz 18%, so Canuelas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Canuelas and 0.4 for Deportivo Muñiz (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Canuelas are averaging 1.78 points per game versus 0.82 for Deportivo Muñiz.

Canuelas vs Deportivo Muñiz Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Match Preview & Prediction

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