Today / Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League / Scotland Mabvuku vs Bulawayo Chiefs

Scotland Mabvuku vs Bulawayo Chiefs Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Regular Season - 24 ·Wednesday, July 22, 2026, 13:00

Scotland Mabvuku

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Bulawayo Chiefs

PPG 0.91 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.00), Away POOR (0.91) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.6%0-13.0%0-20.5%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-018.0%1-16.4%1-21.1%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-018.9%2-16.7%2-21.2%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-013.3%3-14.7%3-20.8%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-011.4%4+-14.0%4+-20.7%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 71.9% — — —

Draw 18.3% — — —

Away win 9.8% — — —

Over 2.5 50.0% — — —

Over 3.5 28.8% — — —

BTTS 46.4% — — —

Home O1.5 62.2% — — —

Away O1.5 11.1% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 43%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob46.4%

H 72% / xG 2.1-0.4 / O2.5 50% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 18.9%

#2 1–0 18.0%

#3 3–0 13.3%

#4 0–0 8.6%

#5 1–1 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Scotland Mabvuku2.1

Bulawayo Chiefs0.4

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SCOTLAND MABVUKU · PPG 2.00

BULAWAYO CHIEFS · PPG 0.91

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.00), Away POOR (0.91) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Scotland Mabvuku (H) 71.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bulawayo Chiefs (A) 9.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Scotland Mabvuku face Bulawayo Chiefs in Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League on Wednesday, July 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Scotland Mabvuku a 72% chance, the draw 18% and Bulawayo Chiefs 10%, so Scotland Mabvuku are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Scotland Mabvuku and 0.4 for Bulawayo Chiefs (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Scotland Mabvuku are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.91 for Bulawayo Chiefs.

Scotland Mabvuku vs Bulawayo Chiefs Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League Predictions