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Herentals vs Manica Diamonds Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Regular Season - 24 ·Tuesday, July 21, 2026, 13:00

Herentals

PPG 1.64 · HOME

UPCOMING

Manica Diamonds

PPG 0.36 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.64) vs P(Home)=64.8%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.5%0-13.6%0-21.0%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-014.2%1-17.9%1-22.2%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-015.4%2-18.6%2-22.4%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.1%3-16.2%3-21.7%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-010.0%4+-15.6%4+-21.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.8% — — —

Draw 20.9% — — —

Away win 14.3% — — —

Over 2.5 53.8% — — —

Over 3.5 33.0% — — —

BTTS 48.4% — — —

Home O1.5 62.2% — — —

Away O1.5 18.5% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 44%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.4%

H 65% / xG 2.2-0.6 / O2.5 54% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 15.4%

#2 1–0 14.2%

#3 3–0 11.1%

#4 1–1 7.9%

#5 2–1 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Herentals2.2

Manica Diamonds0.6

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 33.0%

Form & verdict PPG

HERENTALS · PPG 1.64

MANICA DIAMONDS · PPG 0.36

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.64) vs P(Home)=64.8%

Win probability 1X2

Herentals (H) 64.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Manica Diamonds (A) 14.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Herentals face Manica Diamonds in Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League on Tuesday, July 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Herentals a 65% chance, the draw 21% and Manica Diamonds 14%, so Herentals are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Herentals and 0.6 for Manica Diamonds (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Herentals are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 0.36 for Manica Diamonds.

Herentals vs Manica Diamonds Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Match Preview & Prediction

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