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Simba Bhora vs MWOS Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Regular Season - 24 ·Wednesday, July 22, 2026, 13:00

Simba Bhora

PPG 1.73 · HOME

UPCOMING

MWOS

PPG 1.09 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.3%0-112.1%0-24.0%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-019.0%1-112.6%1-24.2%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-09.8%2-16.5%2-22.1%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-03.4%3-12.2%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-10.7%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.7% — — —

Draw 30.5% — — —

Away win 22.8% — — —

Over 2.5 37.5% — — —

Over 3.5 17.9% — — —

BTTS 46.4% — — —

Home O1.5 35.4% — — —

Away O1.5 20.7% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 37%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob46.4%

H 47% / xG 1.0-0.7 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 18.3%

#2 1–0 19.0%

#3 1–1 12.6%

#4 0–1 12.1%

#5 2–0 9.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Simba Bhora1.0

MWOS0.7

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.5% · O3.5 PROB 17.9%

Form & verdict PPG

SIMBA BHORA · PPG 1.73

MWOS · PPG 1.09

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.73) > Away AVERAGE (1.09)

Win probability 1X2

Simba Bhora (H) 46.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

MWOS (A) 22.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Simba Bhora face MWOS in Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League on Wednesday, July 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Simba Bhora a 47% chance, the draw 31% and MWOS 23%, so Simba Bhora are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Simba Bhora and 0.7 for MWOS (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Simba Bhora are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 1.09 for MWOS.

Simba Bhora vs MWOS Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Match Preview & Prediction

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