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Kariba vs Highlanders Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Regular Season - 24 ·Wednesday, July 22, 2026, 13:00

Kariba

PPG 1.18 · HOME

UPCOMING

Highlanders

PPG 1.64 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-026.7%0-119.4%0-27.0%0-31.7%0-4+0.4%1 1-015.9%1-111.5%1-24.2%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-04.7%2-13.4%2-21.2%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-00.9%3-10.7%3-20.2%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.1% — — —

Draw 34.3% — — —

Away win 35.6% — — —

Over 2.5 33.3% — — —

Over 3.5 13.0% — — —

BTTS 46.4% — — —

Home O1.5 33.3% — — —

Away O1.5 20.7% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob46.4%

D 34% / xG 0.6-0.7 / U2.5 33% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 26.7%

#2 0–1 19.4%

#3 1–0 15.9%

#4 1–1 11.5%

#5 0–2 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kariba0.6

Highlanders0.7

COMBINED 1.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.3% · O3.5 PROB 13.0%

Form & verdict PPG

KARIBA · PPG 1.18

HIGHLANDERS · PPG 1.64

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.18) vs Away GOOD (1.64)

Win probability 1X2

Kariba (H) 30.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 34.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Highlanders (A) 35.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kariba face Highlanders in Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League on Wednesday, July 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kariba a 30% chance, the draw 34% and Highlanders 36%, so Highlanders are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Kariba and 0.7 for Highlanders (1.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kariba are averaging 1.18 points per game versus 1.64 for Highlanders.

Kariba vs Highlanders Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Match Preview & Prediction

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