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Athlone W vs Bohemians W Prediction— Ireland

Saturday, July 18, 2026

Athlone W
PPG 2.67 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Bohemians W
PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.67), Away POOR (0.50) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-12.4%0-20.7%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-011.1%1-16.3%1-21.8%1-30.3%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.3%2-18.1%2-22.3%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-012.3%3-17.0%3-22.0%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-014.7%4+-18.4%4+-22.4%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 71.6%
Draw 18.3%
Away win 10.1%
Over 2.5 60.9%
Over 3.5 37.4%
BTTS 48.5%
Home O1.5 63.5%
Away O1.5 18.8%

League track record

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%
O2.5 75%
BTTS 50%
Score Hit 25%
ROI -33.6%
Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 51%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)2.6 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.5%

H 72% / xG 2.6-0.6 / O2.5 61% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 14.3%
#2 3–0 12.3%
#3 1–0 11.1%
#4 2–1 8.1%
#5 4–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Athlone W2.6
Bohemians W0.6

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.9% · O3.5 PROB 37.4%

Form & verdict PPG

ATHLONE W · PPG 2.67

BOHEMIANS W · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.67), Away POOR (0.50) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Athlone W (H) 71.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 18.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Bohemians W (A) 10.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Athlone W face Bohemians W in Ireland on Saturday, July 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Athlone W a 72% chance, the draw 18% and Bohemians W 10%, so Athlone W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Athlone W and 0.6 for Bohemians W (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Athlone W are averaging 2.67 points per game versus 0.50 for Bohemians W.

PredictVantage

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