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Shamrock R. W vs Treaty Utd W Prediction— Ireland

Saturday, July 18, 2026

Shamrock R. W

PPG 1.40 · HOME

UPCOMING

Treaty Utd W

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.40)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.2%0-111.6%0-26.6%0-32.5%0-4+0.9%1 1-011.7%1-113.3%1-27.5%1-32.9%1-4+1.0%2 2-06.7%2-17.6%2-24.3%2-31.6%2-4+0.6%3 3-02.6%3-12.9%3-21.7%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.1%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.4% — — —

Draw 27.3% — — —

Away win 35.3% — — —

Over 2.5 50.2% — — —

Over 3.5 29.0% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 35.6% — — —

Away O1.5 36.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 25%

ROI -33.6%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 20%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.6%

H 37% / xG 1.1-1.1 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 10.2%

#3 1–0 11.7%

#4 0–1 11.6%

#5 2–1 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Shamrock R. W1.1

Treaty Utd W1.1

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.2% · O3.5 PROB 29.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SHAMROCK R. W · PPG 1.40

TREATY UTD W · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

Shamrock R. W (H) 37.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Treaty Utd W (A) 35.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Shamrock R. W face Treaty Utd W in Ireland on Saturday, July 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shamrock R. W a 37% chance, the draw 27% and Treaty Utd W 35%, so Shamrock R. W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Shamrock R. W and 1.1 for Treaty Utd W (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shamrock R. W are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 2.00 for Treaty Utd W.

Shamrock R. W vs Treaty Utd W Prediction— Ireland

Match Preview & Prediction

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