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Shelbourne W vs Cork City W Prediction— Ireland

Saturday, July 18, 2026

Shelbourne W
PPG 2.33 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Cork City W
PPG 0.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.33), Away POOR (0.40) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-11.3%0-20.3%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-08.1%1-14.0%1-21.0%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-012.9%2-16.4%2-21.6%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-013.6%3-16.7%3-21.7%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-023.8%4+-111.8%4+-22.9%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 69.4%
Draw 17.7%
Away win 12.9%
Over 2.5 66.7%
Over 3.5 43.7%
BTTS 48.5%
Home O1.5 76.2%
Away O1.5 18.8%

League track record

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%
O2.5 75%
BTTS 50%
Score Hit 25%
ROI -33.6%
Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 62%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)3.2 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob48.5%

H 69% / xG 3.2-0.5 / O2.5 67% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 13.6%
#2 2–0 12.9%
#3 4–0 10.8%
#4 1–0 8.1%
#5 5–0 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Shelbourne W3.2
Cork City W0.5

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.7% · O3.5 PROB 43.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SHELBOURNE W · PPG 2.33

CORK CITY W · PPG 0.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.33), Away POOR (0.40) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Shelbourne W (H) 69.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 17.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Cork City W (A) 12.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Shelbourne W face Cork City W in Ireland on Saturday, July 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shelbourne W a 69% chance, the draw 18% and Cork City W 13%, so Shelbourne W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.2 for Shelbourne W and 0.5 for Cork City W (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shelbourne W are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 0.40 for Cork City W.

PredictVantage

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