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Vikto Zizkov vs Banik Ostrava B Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Regular Season - 24 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 08:15

Vikto Zizkov logo
Vikto Zizkov
PPG 2.00 · HOME
2 – 2
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
Banik Ostrava B logo
Banik Ostrava B
PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 62.9% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5% — a real, if thin, edge.

+0.6% EXPECTED VALUE ↗
ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-15.8%0-24.1%0-32.0%0-4+0.9%1 1-07.3%1-110.3%1-27.3%1-33.5%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.5%2-19.2%2-26.5%2-33.1%2-4+1.5%3 3-03.8%3-15.4%3-23.8%3-31.8%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-13.6%4+-22.5%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.6%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 46.0% 54.1% 1.85 -14.9%
Draw 23.1% 27.4% 3.65 -15.7%
Away win 30.9% 29.4% 3.40 +5.1%
Over 2.5 61.8% 58.8% 1.70 +5.1%
Over 3.5 39.5% 36.4% 2.75 +8.6%
BTTS 62.9% 62.5% 1.60 +0.6%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%
O2.5 57%
BTTS 55%
Score Hit 50%
ROI 10.4%
Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 44%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-2
xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob62.9%

H 46% / xG 1.8-1.4 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.3%
#2 2–1 9.2%
#3 1–2 7.3%
#4 1–0 7.3%
#5 2–2 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vikto Zizkov1.8
Banik Ostrava B1.4

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.8% · O3.5 PROB 39.5%

Form & verdict PPG

VIKTO ZIZKOV · PPG 2.00

BANIK OSTRAVA B · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=46.0%

Win probability 1X2

Vikto Zizkov (H) 46.0%
ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -14.9%
Draw 23.1%
ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -15.7%
Banik Ostrava B (A) 30.9%
ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +5.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vikto Zizkov face Banik Ostrava B in Czech-Republic - FNL on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vikto Zizkov a 46% chance, the draw 23% and Banik Ostrava B 31%, so Vikto Zizkov are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Vikto Zizkov and 1.4 for Banik Ostrava B (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vikto Zizkov are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.17 for Banik Ostrava B. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +8.6%. This match finished 2-2.

PredictVantage

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