Today / SJK Akatemia B vs Vaajakoski

SJK Akatemia B vs Vaajakoski Prediction

Tuesday, June 30, 2026

SJK Akatemia B

PPG 1.20 · HOME

UPCOMING

Vaajakoski

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.6%0-11.6%0-22.0%0-31.7%0-4+2.0%1 1-01.6%1-14.1%1-25.2%1-34.3%1-4+4.9%2 2-02.1%2-15.2%2-26.5%2-35.5%2-4+6.2%3 3-01.7%3-14.4%3-25.5%3-34.6%3-4+5.3%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-15.1%4+-26.4%4+-35.3%4+-4+6.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.6% — — —

Draw 20.4% — — —

Away win 41.0% — — —

Over 2.5 75.7% — — —

Over 3.5 53.2% — — —

BTTS 69.1% — — —

Home O1.5 61.5% — — —

Away O1.5 69.2% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 60%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)2.5 BTTS prob69.1%

H 39% / xG 2.5-2.5 / O2.5 76% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.5%

#2 3–2 5.5%

#3 2–3 5.5%

#4 2–1 5.2%

#5 1–2 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SJK Akatemia B2.5

Vaajakoski2.5

COMBINED 5.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 75.7% · O3.5 PROB 53.2%

Form & verdict PPG

SJK AKATEMIA B · PPG 1.20

VAAJAKOSKI · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.20), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

SJK Akatemia B (H) 38.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Vaajakoski (A) 41.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

SJK Akatemia B face Vaajakoski on Tuesday, June 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SJK Akatemia B a 39% chance, the draw 20% and Vaajakoski 41%, so Vaajakoski are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for SJK Akatemia B and 2.5 for Vaajakoski (5.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SJK Akatemia B are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 1.00 for Vaajakoski.

SJK Akatemia B vs Vaajakoski Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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