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Inter De Limeira vs Volta Redonda Prediction— Brazil - Serie C

Matchday 16 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 22:30

Inter De Limeira

PPG 1.29 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Volta Redonda

PPG 0.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 55.2% vs bookmaker-implied 52.6% — a real, if thin, edge.

+4.9% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.5%0-16.5%0-22.0%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-017.2%1-110.6%1-23.3%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.0%2-18.7%2-22.7%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-07.7%3-14.7%3-21.5%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-04.5%4+-12.8%4+-20.9%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.2% 52.6% 1.90 +4.9%

Draw 24.2% 32.3% 3.10 -15.0%

Away win 20.6% 25.3% 3.95 -11.2%

Over 2.5 50.3% 45.5% 2.20 +10.7%

Over 3.5 28.8% 23.8% 4.20 +12.6%

BTTS 48.4% 51.3% 1.95 -5.6%

Home O1.5 47.5% 46.5% 2.15 +2.1%

Away O1.5 17.4% 27.0% 3.70 -21.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 86 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -30.1%

Bet Hit 37%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 31%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.4%

H 55% / xG 1.6-0.6 / U2.5 50% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.2%

#2 2–0✓ 14.0%

#3 1–1 10.6%

#4 0–0 10.5%

#5 2–1 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Inter De Limeira1.6

Volta Redonda0.6

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.3% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

INTER DE LIMEIRA · PPG 1.29

VOLTA REDONDA · PPG 0.57

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.02 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Inter De Limeira (H) 55.2%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV +4.9%

Draw 24.2%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -15.0%

Volta Redonda (A) 20.6%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV -11.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Inter De Limeira face Volta Redonda in Brazil - Serie C on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Inter De Limeira a 55% chance, the draw 24% and Volta Redonda 21%, so Inter De Limeira are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Inter De Limeira and 0.6 for Volta Redonda (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Inter De Limeira are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 0.57 for Volta Redonda. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +12.6%. This match finished 2-0.

Inter De Limeira vs Volta Redonda Prediction— Brazil - Serie C

Match Preview & Prediction

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