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Ferroviaria vs Inter Limeira Prediction— Brazil - Serie C

Regular Season - 11 ·Sunday, June 21, 2026, 21:30

Ferroviaria

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Inter Limeira

PPG 2.60 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.7%0-115.9%0-27.1%0-32.1%0-4+0.6%1 1-014.8%1-113.2%1-25.9%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-06.2%2-15.5%2-22.5%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.7%3-11.5%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 33.9% 1.95 -33.9%

Draw 32.4% 2.95 -4.4%

Away win 33.7% 3.95 +33.1%

Over 2.5 37.4% 2.50 -6.5%

Over 3.5 18.7% 5.00 -3.9%

BTTS 48.1% 2.10 +1.0%

Win probability 1X2

Ferroviaria (H) 33.9%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -33.9%

Draw 32.4%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV -4.4%

Inter Limeira (A) 33.7%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV +33.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 70%

ROI -40.4%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.1%

D 32% / xG 0.8-0.9 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.7%

#2 1–1 13.2%

#3 0–1 15.9%

#4 1–0 14.8%

#5 0–2 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ferroviaria0.8

Inter Limeira0.9

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.4% · O3.5 PROB 18.7%

Form & verdict PPG

FERROVIARIA · PPG 2.00

INTER LIMEIRA · PPG 2.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.60) vs Home EXCELLENT (2.00)

Match Preview & Prediction

Ferroviaria face Inter Limeira in Brazil - Serie C on Sunday, June 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ferroviaria a 34% chance, the draw 32% and Inter Limeira 34%, so Ferroviaria are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Ferroviaria and 0.9 for Inter Limeira (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ferroviaria are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.60 for Inter Limeira. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +33.1%.

Ferroviaria vs Inter Limeira Prediction— Brazil - Serie C

Match Preview & Prediction

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