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Norrkoping W vs Vaxjo W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Regular Season - 10 ·Thursday, June 18, 2026, 17:00

Norrkoping W

PPG 1.00 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Vaxjo W

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.9% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.0%0-17.3%0-24.4%0-31.8%0-4+0.7%1 1-09.7%1-111.6%1-27.0%1-32.8%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.8%2-19.3%2-25.6%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-04.2%3-15.0%3-23.0%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-12.9%4+-21.7%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 46.5% 1.95 -9.3%

Draw 25.2% 3.10 -13.1%

Away win 28.3% 3.30 -4.0%

Over 2.5 54.0% 1.80 -2.8%

Over 3.5 34.0% 2.75 -6.5%

BTTS 55.9% 1.62 -9.4%

Win probability 1X2

Norrkoping W (H) 46.5%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -9.3%

Draw 25.2%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -13.1%

Vaxjo W (A) 28.3%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -4.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob55.9%

H 46% / xG 1.6-1.2 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 1–0 9.7%

#4 0–0✓ 6.0%

#5 2–0 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Norrkoping W1.6

Vaxjo W1.2

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.0% · O3.5 PROB 34.0%

Form & verdict PPG

NORRKOPING W · PPG 1.00

VAXJO W · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Match Preview & Prediction

Norrkoping W face Vaxjo W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Thursday, June 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Norrkoping W a 47% chance, the draw 25% and Vaxjo W 28%, so Norrkoping W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Norrkoping W and 1.2 for Vaxjo W (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Norrkoping W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.00 for Vaxjo W. This match finished 0-0.

Norrkoping W vs Vaxjo W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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