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Kristianstads W vs Uppsala W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Regular Season - 10 ·Thursday, June 18, 2026, 16:00

Kristianstads W

PPG 1.40 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Uppsala W

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.0% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-13.4%0-21.6%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-08.6%1-18.1%1-23.8%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.2%2-19.6%2-24.5%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.1%3-17.6%3-23.6%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-08.4%4+-17.9%4+-23.7%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 58.9% 1.22 -28.1%

Draw 21.1% 5.00 +3.3%

Away win 20.0% 10.00 +60.0%

Over 2.5 64.0% 1.44 -7.8%

Over 3.5 40.4% 2.00 -19.2%

BTTS 56.0% 1.75 -2.0%

Win probability 1X2

Kristianstads W (H) 58.9%

ODDS 1.22 · IMPLIED 82.0% EV -28.1%

Draw 21.1%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +3.3%

Uppsala W (A) 20.0%

ODDS 10.00 · IMPLIED 10.0% EV +60.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob56.0%

H 59% / xG 2.4-0.9 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.2%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 1–1 8.1%

#4 3–0 8.1%

#5 3–1 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kristianstads W2.4

Uppsala W0.9

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.0% · O3.5 PROB 40.4%

Form & verdict PPG

KRISTIANSTADS W · PPG 1.40

UPPSALA W · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Match Preview & Prediction

Kristianstads W face Uppsala W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Thursday, June 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kristianstads W a 59% chance, the draw 21% and Uppsala W 20%, so Kristianstads W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Kristianstads W and 0.9 for Uppsala W (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kristianstads W are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 0.00 for Uppsala W. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +60.0%. This match finished 3-2.

Kristianstads W vs Uppsala W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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