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SC St. Tonis vs Hilden Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Niederrhein - 34 ·Sunday, June 7, 2026, 13:30

SC St. Tonis

PPG 1.56 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Hilden

PPG 2.31 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.9%0-12.3%0-22.9%0-32.5%0-4+3.0%1 1-01.9%1-14.9%1-26.3%1-35.4%1-4+6.4%2 2-02.0%2-15.3%2-26.8%2-35.8%2-4+7.0%3 3-01.5%3-13.8%3-24.9%3-34.2%3-4+5.0%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-13.4%4+-24.4%4+-33.8%4+-4+4.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.3% — — —

Draw 20.8% — — —

Away win 44.9% — — —

Over 2.5 73.6% — — —

Over 3.5 54.4% — — —

BTTS 65.7% — — —

Home O1.5 60.4% — — —

Away O1.5 68.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 60%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob65.7%

A 45% / xG 2.2-2.6 / O2.5 74% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.8%

#2 1–2 6.3%

#3 2–3 5.8%

#4 1–1✓ 4.9%

#5 1–3 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SC St. Tonis2.2

Hilden2.6

COMBINED 4.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.6% · O3.5 PROB 54.4%

Form & verdict PPG

SC ST. TONIS · PPG 1.56

HILDEN · PPG 2.31

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.31) vs Home GOOD (1.56)

Win probability 1X2

SC St. Tonis (H) 34.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hilden (A) 44.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

SC St. Tonis face Hilden in Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SC St. Tonis a 34% chance, the draw 21% and Hilden 45%, so Hilden are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for SC St. Tonis and 2.6 for Hilden (4.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SC St. Tonis are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 2.31 for Hilden. This match finished 1-1.

SC St. Tonis vs Hilden Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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