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SW Essen vs Meerbusch Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Niederrhein - 34 ·Sunday, June 7, 2026, 13:00

SW Essen

PPG 1.13 · HOME

3 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Meerbusch

PPG 1.13 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-15.5%0-24.0%0-32.0%0-4+1.0%1 1-06.9%1-110.0%1-27.3%1-33.6%1-4+1.8%2 2-06.2%2-19.1%2-26.6%2-33.2%2-4+1.6%3 3-03.8%3-15.5%3-24.0%3-31.9%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-13.7%4+-22.7%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.5% — — —

Draw 22.0% — — —

Away win 34.5% — — —

Over 2.5 64.1% — — —

Over 3.5 40.8% — — —

BTTS 62.2% — — —

Home O1.5 55.0% — — —

Away O1.5 42.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-4

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob62.2%

H 44% / xG 1.8-1.5 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.0%

#2 2–1 9.1%

#3 1–2 7.3%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 2–0 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SW Essen1.8

Meerbusch1.5

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 40.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SW ESSEN · PPG 1.13

MEERBUSCH · PPG 1.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.13), Away AVERAGE (1.13)

Win probability 1X2

SW Essen (H) 43.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Meerbusch (A) 34.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

SW Essen face Meerbusch in Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SW Essen a 44% chance, the draw 22% and Meerbusch 35%, so SW Essen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for SW Essen and 1.5 for Meerbusch (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SW Essen are averaging 1.13 points per game versus 1.13 for Meerbusch. This match finished 3-4.

SW Essen vs Meerbusch Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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