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Homberg vs Kleve Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Niederrhein - 34 ·Sunday, June 7, 2026, 13:30

Homberg

PPG 1.31 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Kleve

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-14.7%0-23.1%0-31.4%0-4+0.6%1 1-07.2%1-19.5%1-26.3%1-32.8%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.2%2-19.5%2-26.3%2-32.8%2-4+1.2%3 3-04.8%3-16.4%3-24.2%3-31.9%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-03.9%4+-15.1%4+-23.4%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.9% — — —

Draw 22.6% — — —

Away win 27.5% — — —

Over 2.5 64.3% — — —

Over 3.5 42.0% — — —

BTTS 63.3% — — —

Home O1.5 55.0% — — —

Away O1.5 32.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob63.3%

H 50% / xG 2.0-1.3 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.5%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 2–0 7.2%

#4 3–1 6.4%

#5 2–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Homberg2.0

Kleve1.3

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.3% · O3.5 PROB 42.0%

Form & verdict PPG

HOMBERG · PPG 1.31

KLEVE · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.31) > Away POOR (0.75)

Win probability 1X2

Homberg (H) 49.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kleve (A) 27.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Homberg face Kleve in Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Homberg a 50% chance, the draw 23% and Kleve 28%, so Homberg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Homberg and 1.3 for Kleve (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Homberg are averaging 1.31 points per game versus 0.75 for Kleve. This match finished 1-2.

Homberg vs Kleve Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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