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Buderich vs Baumberg Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Niederrhein - 34 ·Sunday, June 7, 2026, 13:30

Buderich

PPG 1.00 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Baumberg

PPG 1.13 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.0%0-12.3%0-22.6%0-31.9%0-4+1.8%1 1-02.4%1-15.4%1-26.0%1-34.4%1-4+4.1%2 2-02.9%2-16.4%2-27.1%2-35.2%2-4+4.9%3 3-02.2%3-15.0%3-25.5%3-34.1%3-4+3.8%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-15.1%4+-25.6%4+-34.2%4+-4+3.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.1% — — —

Draw 20.0% — — —

Away win 39.9% — — —

Over 2.5 73.6% — — —

Over 3.5 54.4% — — —

BTTS 65.7% — — —

Home O1.5 68.8% — — —

Away O1.5 68.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob65.7%

H 40% / xG 2.3-2.2 / O2.5 74% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 7.1%

#2 2–1 6.4%

#3 1–1 5.4%

#4 1–2 6.0%

#5 3–2 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Buderich2.3

Baumberg2.2

COMBINED 4.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.6% · O3.5 PROB 54.4%

Form & verdict PPG

BUDERICH · PPG 1.00

BAUMBERG · PPG 1.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.13)

Win probability 1X2

Buderich (H) 40.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Baumberg (A) 39.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Buderich face Baumberg in Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Buderich a 40% chance, the draw 20% and Baumberg 40%, so Buderich are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Buderich and 2.2 for Baumberg (4.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Buderich are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.13 for Baumberg. This match finished 3-1.

Buderich vs Baumberg Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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