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Holzheimer SG vs Schonnebeck Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Niederrhein - 34 ·Sunday, June 7, 2026, 13:30

Holzheimer SG

PPG 1.19 · HOME

3 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Schonnebeck

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-17.2%0-27.4%0-35.2%0-4+4.3%1 1-04.5%1-19.2%1-29.6%1-36.6%1-4+5.6%2 2-02.9%2-16.0%2-26.2%2-34.3%2-4+3.6%3 3-01.2%3-12.6%3-22.7%3-31.8%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-11.1%4+-21.1%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 21.5% — — —

Draw 21.0% — — —

Away win 57.4% — — —

Over 2.5 64.1% — — —

Over 3.5 41.9% — — —

BTTS 61.3% — — —

Home O1.5 46.9% — — —

Away O1.5 44.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 57%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-4

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob61.3%

A 57% / xG 1.3-2.1 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.2%

#2 1–2 9.6%

#3 0–2 7.4%

#4 1–3 6.6%

#5 2–2 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Holzheimer SG1.3

Schonnebeck2.1

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 41.9%

Form & verdict PPG

HOLZHEIMER SG · PPG 1.19

SCHONNEBECK · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.19) vs Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Holzheimer SG (H) 21.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Schonnebeck (A) 57.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Holzheimer SG face Schonnebeck in Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Holzheimer SG a 22% chance, the draw 21% and Schonnebeck 57%, so Schonnebeck are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Holzheimer SG and 2.1 for Schonnebeck (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Holzheimer SG are averaging 1.19 points per game versus 1.50 for Schonnebeck. This match finished 3-4.

Holzheimer SG vs Schonnebeck Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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