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Kleve vs SW Essen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Niederrhein - 33 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 13:00

Kleve

PPG 1.44 · HOME

4 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

SW Essen

PPG 1.63 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.0%0-17.9%0-26.3%0-33.3%0-4+1.9%1 1-07.0%1-111.2%1-28.9%1-34.7%1-4+2.6%2 2-05.0%2-17.9%2-26.3%2-33.3%2-4+1.9%3 3-02.3%3-13.7%3-22.9%3-31.6%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.8%4+-21.4%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.2% — — —

Draw 23.2% — — —

Away win 36.6% — — —

Over 2.5 63.7% — — —

Over 3.5 39.5% — — —

BTTS 61.0% — — —

Home O1.5 41.2% — — —

Away O1.5 47.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-3

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob61.0%

A 37% / xG 1.4-1.6 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.2%

#2 1–2 8.9%

#3 2–1 7.9%

#4 0–0 5.0%

#5 0–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kleve1.4

SW Essen1.6

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.7% · O3.5 PROB 39.5%

Form & verdict PPG

KLEVE · PPG 1.44

SW ESSEN · PPG 1.63

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.44), Away GOOD (1.63)

Win probability 1X2

Kleve (H) 40.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

SW Essen (A) 36.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kleve face SW Essen in Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kleve a 40% chance, the draw 23% and SW Essen 37%, so Kleve are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Kleve and 1.6 for SW Essen (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kleve are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 1.63 for SW Essen. This match finished 4-3.

Kleve vs SW Essen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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