Today / Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein / Baumberg vs Biemenhorst

Baumberg vs Biemenhorst Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Niederrhein - 33 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 13:00

Baumberg logo
Baumberg
PPG 1.44 · HOME
7 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5
Biemenhorst logo
Biemenhorst
PPG 0.88 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.44) > Away POOR (0.88)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.2%0-11.9%0-21.6%0-30.9%0-4+0.5%1 1-03.3%1-15.4%1-24.4%1-32.4%1-4+1.4%2 2-04.6%2-17.6%2-26.2%2-33.4%2-4+2.0%3 3-04.3%3-17.1%3-25.8%3-33.2%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-06.0%4+-19.8%4+-28.0%4+-34.4%4+-4+2.6%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 56.2%
Draw 21.2%
Away win 22.6%
Over 2.5 72.7%
Over 3.5 54.6%
BTTS 63.4%
Home O1.5 76.9%
Away O1.5 48.8%

League track record

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%
O2.5 58%
BTTS 56%
Score Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 63%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 7-1
xG (home)2.8 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.4%

H 56% / xG 2.8-1.6 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.6%
#2 3–1 7.1%
#3 1–1 5.4%
#4 2–2 6.2%
#5 3–2 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Baumberg2.8
Biemenhorst1.6

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.7% · O3.5 PROB 54.6%

Form & verdict PPG

BAUMBERG · PPG 1.44

BIEMENHORST · PPG 0.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.44) > Away POOR (0.88)

Win probability 1X2

Baumberg (H) 56.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 21.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Biemenhorst (A) 22.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Baumberg face Biemenhorst in Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Baumberg a 56% chance, the draw 21% and Biemenhorst 23%, so Baumberg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Baumberg and 1.6 for Biemenhorst (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Baumberg are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 0.88 for Biemenhorst. This match finished 7-1.

PredictVantage

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